Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 92.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 63.3%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 67.2%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Last 8: Kuznetsov 2-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
49.2% (901)
-1.5%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
68.2% (22)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
49.8% (219)
-10.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Home
45.9% (534)
51.7% (603)
Away
49.2% (535)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
P1
44.8%
50.9%
P2
52.1%
49.5%
P3
44.5%
49.1%
OT
75.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |