Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 39.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 42.8% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 96.8%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 74.8%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 89.1%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Last 8: Kuznetsov 1-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
6
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (471)
58.4% (310)
-17.0%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
66.7% (6)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
53.0% (83)
-28.0%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kuznetsov is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Kuraly is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Home
43.0% (223)
57.1% (184)
Away
40.0% (270)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
P1
37.3%
56.0%
P2
40.2%
56.6%
P3
48.9%
58.0%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
41.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 3, 2021 | OT | 03:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |