Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Nosek 53.4% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 50.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 93.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 79.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Kuznetsov
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kuznetsov
Nosek
Last 5: Kuznetsov 4-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
0
Kuznetsov
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Kuznetsov
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
55.1% (557)
-11.8%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
50.0% (4)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
47.7% (111)
-6.9%
On even strength, Nosek has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Nosek
Home
43.9% (602)
52.3% (342)
Away
43.1% (564)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Nosek
P1
43.2%
49.0%
P2
41.5%
53.8%
P3
45.2%
57.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |