Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Nosek 58.0% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 90.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 83.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 55.0%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Kuznetsov
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kuznetsov
Nosek
Last 8: Kuznetsov 4-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
0
Kuznetsov
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Kuznetsov
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Kuznetsov
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
59.7% (469)
-12.0%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
100.0% (4)
-46.5%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
56.5% (124)
-17.1%
On power play, Nosek has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Nosek
Home
45.9% (534)
59.0% (295)
Away
49.2% (535)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Nosek
P1
44.8%
56.3%
P2
52.1%
61.9%
P3
44.5%
59.2%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |