Evgeny Kuznetsov vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 54.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 80.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 67.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
Last 5: Kuznetsov 3-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
55.3% (897)
-7.6%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
61.1% (113)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
50.8% (132)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
Home
45.9% (534)
58.6% (560)
Away
49.2% (535)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
P1
44.8%
55.8%
P2
52.1%
55.6%
P3
44.5%
55.7%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 1, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |