Evgeny Kuznetsov vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 32-29 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 69.1%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 50.6%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 59.9%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
32
(61 meetings)
29
32
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
Last 10: Kuznetsov 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
8
6
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
5
12
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
16
14
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
51.8% (7,849)
-7.9%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
54.8% (1,048)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
44.2% (1,109)
-6.0%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
Home
44.8% (4,622)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Karlsson
P1
43.6%
50.3%
P2
45.8%
51.3%
P3
42.8%
52.4%
OT
43.2%
44.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 1, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |