Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 39.8% vs MacLean 48.5% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 83.7%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 69.7%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 76.1%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Svechkov
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Svechkov
MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
1
Svechkov
MacLean
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
2
Svechkov
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
MacLean
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (318)
47.6% (540)
-10.8%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
66.7% (3)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
60.9% (23)
-60.9%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +60.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Svechkov is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Svechkov shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Svechkov
MacLean
Home
37.0% (181)
47.6% (273)
Away
36.4% (154)
48.8% (293)
By Period
Svechkov
MacLean
P1
35.1%
45.5%
P2
44.4%
48.8%
P3
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
36.7%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |