Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 41.4% vs MacLean 47.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 78.2%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 70.5%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 70.6%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Svechkov
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Svechkov
MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
MacLean
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
2
Svechkov
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
1
2
Svechkov
MacLean
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (748)
47.2% (849)
-6.8%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
62.5% (8)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
56.7% (30)
-31.7%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Svechkov is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Svechkov shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Home / Away
Svechkov
MacLean
Home
39.2% (393)
46.9% (426)
Away
41.3% (380)
48.4% (461)
By Period
Svechkov
MacLean
P1
35.6%
46.6%
P2
45.0%
49.7%
P3
40.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
39.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |