Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.2% vs Steel 50.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 60.1%
Defensive zone
Steel 71.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 65.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Svechkov
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Svechkov
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
1
0
Svechkov
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (430)
52.5% (200)
-9.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
71.4% (7)
-38.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
40.0% (45)
+0.0%
On power play, Steel has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Svechkov is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Svechkov shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Steel
Home
41.0% (212)
49.5% (109)
Away
44.7% (226)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Svechkov
Steel
P1
36.1%
49.5%
P2
45.4%
47.5%
P3
46.7%
56.6%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |