Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 41.4% vs Steel 50.2% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 65.9%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 61.8%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 64.1%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Svechkov
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Svechkov
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Svechkov
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Svechkov
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (748)
50.6% (2,876)
-10.2%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
62.6% (179)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
37.4% (254)
-12.4%
On power play, Steel has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Svechkov is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Svechkov shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Steel
Home
39.2% (393)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
41.3% (380)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Svechkov
Steel
P1
35.6%
51.9%
P2
45.0%
49.5%
P3
40.2%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
39.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |