Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Chytil 41.2% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 62.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 82.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 68.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Ryan
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ryan
Chytil
Last 5: Ryan 3-2 Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
0
1
Ryan
Chytil
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Chytil
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
0
1
Ryan
Chytil
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
39.9% (579)
+11.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
38.3% (47)
+36.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
40.0% (5)
+5.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Chytil is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Ryan
Chytil
Home
53.7% (214)
38.2% (285)
Away
46.4% (220)
41.0% (346)
By Period
Ryan
Chytil
P1
45.0%
38.0%
P2
50.0%
42.1%
P3
54.6%
39.2%
Final 5 min
45.3%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |