Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Chytil on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Chytil shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Chytil 47.3% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 76.8%
Defensive zone
Chytil 72.1%
Neutral zone
Chytil 73.8%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Larkin
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Larkin
Chytil
Last 9: Larkin 2-7 Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Chytil
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
2
Larkin
Chytil
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
0
4
Larkin
Chytil
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
46.9% (503)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
42.1% (57)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
100.0% (4)
-44.1%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Chytil is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Larkin
Chytil
Home
54.7% (783)
49.7% (286)
Away
54.3% (816)
43.9% (278)
By Period
Larkin
Chytil
P1
55.9%
47.5%
P2
56.1%
47.1%
P3
51.1%
45.7%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |