Scouting Report
Filip Chytil holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Chytil wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 47.3% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 70.6%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 76.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 65.9%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Chytil
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Chytil
Carlsson
Last 7: Chytil 2-5 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
4
Chytil
Carlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (503)
41.8% (648)
+5.1%
Power Play
42.1% (57)
37.3% (51)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
38.7% (31)
+61.3%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +61.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Chytil is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Chytil shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Chytil
Carlsson
Home
49.7% (286)
44.5% (362)
Away
43.9% (278)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Chytil
Carlsson
P1
47.5%
46.3%
P2
47.1%
35.1%
P3
45.7%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |