Scouting Report
Filip Chytil holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Chytil wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.4% vs Carlsson 41.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 57.9%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 62.4%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 62.9%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Chytil
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Chytil
Carlsson
Last 7: Chytil 2-5 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
4
Chytil
Carlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,534)
41.1% (1,716)
+1.0%
Power Play
42.6% (204)
42.8% (152)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
35.3% (116)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Chytil is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,849).
Chytil shoots left. Carlsson is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Chytil
Carlsson
Home
42.8% (1,337)
42.9% (956)
Away
41.5% (1,425)
39.1% (1,028)
By Period
Chytil
Carlsson
P1
40.9%
44.2%
P2
43.8%
35.8%
P3
41.4%
43.5%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.5%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
54.0%▲
48.5%
42.1%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |