Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.8% vs 39.5%). Chytil wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 41.2% vs Cates 40.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 68.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 58.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Chytil
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Chytil
Cates
Last 5: Chytil 3-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Chytil
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
0
Chytil
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (579)
40.4% (841)
-0.5%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
42.4% (66)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
32.7% (147)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Chytil is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Chytil shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Chytil
Cates
Home
38.2% (285)
38.2% (566)
Away
41.0% (346)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Chytil
Cates
P1
38.0%
40.5%
P2
42.1%
42.4%
P3
39.2%
35.3%
OT
42.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
38.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |