Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.1% vs 43.0%). Look for Cates on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Cates 43.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 67.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 65.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Chytil
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Chytil
Cates
Last 6: Chytil 3-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Chytil
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
2
Chytil
Cates
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
0
Chytil
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
44.1% (2,742)
-2.0%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
43.0% (242)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
34.9% (373)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Chytil is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,850).
Chytil shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Chytil
Cates
Home
42.8% (1,337)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Chytil
Cates
P1
40.8%
44.5%
P2
43.8%
43.5%
P3
41.4%
41.2%
OT
50.0%
29.4%
Final 5 min
43.5%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |