Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 45.0% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 85.3%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 55.6%
Neutral zone
Chytil 66.2%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Chytil
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Chytil
Carpenter
Last 5: Chytil 1-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Chytil
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Chytil
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (283)
53.2% (299)
-11.2%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
33.3% (3)
+24.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
46.5% (86)
+3.5%
On power play, Chytil has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Chytil is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Chytil shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Chytil
Carpenter
Home
42.8% (152)
54.6% (207)
Away
44.0% (159)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Chytil
Carpenter
P1
44.0%
52.3%
P2
44.4%
51.5%
P3
40.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |