Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Carpenter 48.5% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 82.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 66.1%
Neutral zone
Chytil 55.3%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Chytil
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Chytil
Carpenter
Last 6: Chytil 2-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Chytil
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Chytil
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
49.6% (2,027)
-7.5%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
41.5% (41)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
43.9% (467)
-6.4%
On even strength, Carpenter has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Chytil is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (915).
Chytil shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Chytil
Carpenter
Home
42.8% (1,337)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Chytil
Carpenter
P1
40.8%
49.6%
P2
43.8%
47.7%
P3
41.4%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |