Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Chytil wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 84.2%
Defensive zone
Chytil 89.8%
Neutral zone
Chytil 91.7%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Chytil
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Chytil
O'Reilly
Last 10: Chytil 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Chytil
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
9
Chytil
O'Reilly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
56.2% (15,260)
-14.1%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
58.8% (3,445)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
51.4% (2,811)
-13.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Chytil is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,850).
Chytil shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Chytil
O'Reilly
Home
42.8% (1,337)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Chytil
O'Reilly
P1
40.8%
55.6%
P2
43.8%
57.0%
P3
41.4%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
43.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |