Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 47.3% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 58.4%
Defensive zone
Chytil 50.9%
Neutral zone
Chytil 56.7%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Chytil
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Chytil
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Chytil
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Chytil
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (503)
56.2% (983)
-9.3%
Power Play
42.1% (57)
55.5% (254)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
52.0% (102)
+48.0%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Chytil is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Chytil shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Chytil
O'Reilly
Home
49.7% (286)
56.2% (697)
Away
43.9% (278)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Chytil
O'Reilly
P1
47.5%
54.5%
P2
47.1%
55.5%
P3
45.7%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |