Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Chytil wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 41.2% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 68.1%
Defensive zone
Chytil 54.8%
Neutral zone
Chytil 62.8%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Chytil
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Chytil
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Chytil
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (579)
56.1% (690)
-16.2%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
64.6% (96)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
45.9% (109)
-5.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Chytil is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Chytil shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Chytil
O'Reilly
Home
38.2% (285)
58.3% (408)
Away
41.0% (346)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Chytil
O'Reilly
P1
38.0%
57.7%
P2
42.1%
54.8%
P3
39.2%
55.2%
OT
42.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
38.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |