Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.9% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-18.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 53.6%
Defensive zone
Chytil 52.7%
Neutral zone
Chytil 53.3%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Chytil
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Chytil
O'Reilly
Last 5: Chytil 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Chytil
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (161)
57.1% (1,367)
-17.3%
Power Play
30.8% (13)
59.4% (286)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.5% (257)
-52.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +52.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Chytil is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Chytil shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Chytil
O'Reilly
Home
41.3% (63)
59.2% (936)
Away
37.5% (112)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Chytil
O'Reilly
P1
37.5%
57.3%
P2
41.3%
57.5%
P3
37.5%
55.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
38.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |