Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Chytil wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Steel 50.2% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 77.9%
Defensive zone
Chytil 82.2%
Neutral zone
Chytil 84.5%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Chytil
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Chytil
Steel
Last 10: Chytil 2-8 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Chytil
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
8
Chytil
Steel
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
50.6% (2,876)
-8.5%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
62.6% (179)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
37.4% (254)
+0.1%
On power play, Steel has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Chytil is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,850).
Chytil shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Chytil
Steel
Home
42.8% (1,337)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Chytil
Steel
P1
40.8%
51.9%
P2
43.8%
49.5%
P3
41.4%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
43.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Sam Steel |