Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 47.3% vs Steel 52.8% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 78.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 61.6%
Neutral zone
Chytil 59.9%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Chytil
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Chytil
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Chytil
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Chytil
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (503)
56.9% (320)
-10.0%
Power Play
42.1% (57)
71.4% (7)
-29.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
37.0% (73)
+63.0%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +63.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Chytil is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Chytil shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Chytil
Steel
Home
49.7% (286)
55.9% (202)
Away
43.9% (278)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Chytil
Steel
P1
47.5%
55.5%
P2
47.1%
55.1%
P3
45.7%
50.3%
Final 5 min
44.8%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Sam Steel |