Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.3% vs Nazar 46.8% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 83.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 81.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 88.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Schenn
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Schenn
Nazar
Last 6: Schenn 5-1 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Nazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
1
Schenn
Nazar
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (608)
47.0% (523)
+4.3%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
50.0% (130)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
23.7% (38)
+49.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Schenn shoots left. Nazar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nazar
Home
54.1% (362)
45.3% (316)
Away
53.3% (375)
47.2% (375)
By Period
Schenn
Nazar
P1
48.4%
47.5%
P2
52.2%
43.5%
P3
59.2%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
50.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
Nazar
38.0%▼
47.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |