Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Staal 54.2% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 72.0%
Defensive zone
Nazar 58.7%
Neutral zone
Nazar 71.2%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Nazar
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Nazar
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Nazar
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Nazar
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
57.0% (1,017)
-11.8%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
57.7% (26)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
45.1% (286)
-0.3%
On power play, Staal has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Nazar
Staal
Home
43.4% (196)
54.3% (667)
Away
45.9% (185)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Nazar
Staal
P1
47.3%
56.2%
P2
40.3%
57.0%
P3
46.7%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |