Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Nazar wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Scheifele 49.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 77.5%
Defensive zone
Nazar 67.6%
Neutral zone
Nazar 58.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Nazar
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nazar
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nazar
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
48.7% (981)
-3.5%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
53.2% (250)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
43.2% (37)
+1.6%
On power play, Scheifele has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Nazar is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Nazar shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Nazar
Scheifele
Home
43.4% (196)
50.0% (672)
Away
45.9% (185)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Nazar
Scheifele
P1
47.3%
51.4%
P2
40.3%
45.1%
P3
46.7%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%