Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Backlund 48.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 52.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 84.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 84.9%
15.1%
84.9%
Nazar
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nazar
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
50.4% (1,032)
-5.2%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
52.3% (107)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
40.6% (313)
+4.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Nazar
Backlund
Home
43.4% (196)
48.7% (749)
Away
45.9% (185)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Nazar
Backlund
P1
47.3%
50.4%
P2
40.3%
50.1%
P3
46.7%
45.8%
OT
33.3%
30.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |