Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.2% vs Granlund 48.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 65.6%
Defensive zone
Nazar 64.2%
Neutral zone
Nazar 66.3%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Nazar
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nazar
Granlund
Last 5: Nazar 1-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Nazar
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Nazar
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (393)
50.0% (356)
-3.2%
Power Play
49.4% (81)
51.9% (79)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (30)
29.4% (51)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nazar is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Nazar shoots right. Granlund is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Nazar
Granlund
Home
45.7% (243)
57.0% (179)
Away
45.2% (261)
43.0% (307)
By Period
Nazar
Granlund
P1
47.0%
53.9%
P2
42.9%
48.2%
P3
45.3%
42.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
46.0%▼
47.5%
45.4%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |