Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Granlund 48.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 68.7%
Defensive zone
Nazar 69.6%
Neutral zone
Nazar 69.9%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Nazar
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nazar
Granlund
Last 5: Nazar 1-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Nazar
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Nazar
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (866)
48.5% (6,718)
-2.4%
Power Play
46.5% (172)
52.7% (748)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (69)
43.6% (635)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nazar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Nazar shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,959).
Home / Away
Nazar
Granlund
Home
44.2% (536)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
46.4% (571)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Nazar
Granlund
P1
47.3%
48.7%
P2
42.0%
48.7%
P3
46.0%
48.2%
OT
66.7%
44.1%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |