Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.7% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (-14.4%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 67.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Nazar
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (19)
45.5% (1,190)
-8.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.4% (94)
-56.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.0% (30)
-40.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Nazar is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (3).
Nazar shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Nazar
MacKinnon
Home
36.4% (11)
47.8% (670)
Away
27.3% (11)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Nazar
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
45.3%
P2
37.5%
48.5%
P3
12.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
31.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%