Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Nazar wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Roy 47.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 53.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Nazar
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nazar
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
48.6% (679)
-3.4%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
48.0% (50)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
34.7% (49)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Nazar has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Nazar is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Nazar shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Nazar
Roy
Home
43.4% (196)
49.3% (345)
Away
45.9% (185)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Nazar
Roy
P1
47.3%
47.6%
P2
40.3%
47.1%
P3
46.7%
47.9%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |