Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.6% vs Danault 54.8% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 71.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 53.2%
Neutral zone
Nazar 62.0%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Nazar
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Nazar
Danault
Last 8: Nazar 3-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Nazar
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Nazar
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (533)
56.5% (711)
-9.6%
Power Play
49.2% (132)
46.0% (50)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
25.6% (39)
51.7% (116)
-26.1%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Nazar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nazar shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Nazar
Danault
Home
45.0% (329)
57.0% (379)
Away
47.2% (375)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Nazar
Danault
P1
47.2%
55.8%
P2
43.1%
55.3%
P3
46.8%
54.8%
OT
75.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |