Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nazar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Danault 53.2% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 61.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 66.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.9%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Nazar
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Nazar
Danault
Last 10: Nazar 5-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
3
1
Nazar
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
3
Nazar
Danault
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
4
Nazar
Danault
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (866)
53.6% (9,447)
-7.5%
Power Play
46.5% (172)
61.4% (757)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (69)
47.4% (1,702)
-14.1%
On power play, Danault has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Nazar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Nazar shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,034).
Home / Away
Nazar
Danault
Home
44.2% (536)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
46.4% (571)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
Nazar
Danault
P1
47.3%
53.7%
P2
42.0%
53.5%
P3
46.0%
52.7%
OT
66.7%
49.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |