Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Danault 52.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 78.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 90.2%
Neutral zone
Danault 77.4%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 85.3%
14.7%
85.3%
Nazar
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nazar
Danault
Last 7: Nazar 5-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
2
1
Nazar
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
3
1
Nazar
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
52.4% (958)
-7.2%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
62.0% (71)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
47.6% (187)
-2.8%
On power play, Danault has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Danault is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Nazar
Danault
Home
43.4% (196)
51.2% (605)
Away
45.9% (185)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Nazar
Danault
P1
47.3%
53.1%
P2
40.3%
49.8%
P3
46.7%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |