Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +22.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.7% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-22.1%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 50.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Nazar
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (19)
55.0% (1,084)
-18.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.8% (303)
-56.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.3% (149)
-40.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Nazar is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Nazar shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Nazar
O'Reilly
Home
36.4% (11)
54.8% (759)
Away
27.3% (11)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Nazar
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
55.3%
P2
37.5%
51.9%
P3
12.5%
54.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
31.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%