Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 47.1%). Look for Nazar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.6% vs Poehling 47.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 66.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 86.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 69.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Nazar
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Nazar
Poehling
Last 9: Nazar 6-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
0
Nazar
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
3
Nazar
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (533)
49.8% (626)
-2.9%
Power Play
49.2% (132)
58.3% (12)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
25.6% (39)
38.2% (207)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Nazar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nazar shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Nazar
Poehling
Home
45.0% (329)
47.3% (404)
Away
47.2% (375)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Nazar
Poehling
P1
47.2%
53.5%
P2
43.1%
39.4%
P3
46.8%
49.1%
OT
75.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |