Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Poehling 48.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 50.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 83.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 70.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Nazar
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Nazar
Poehling
Last 10: Nazar 6-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
0
Nazar
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
4
Nazar
Poehling
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (866)
49.4% (2,726)
-3.3%
Power Play
46.5% (172)
51.6% (93)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (69)
41.6% (623)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Nazar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Nazar shoots right. Poehling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Nazar
Poehling
Home
44.2% (536)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
46.4% (571)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Nazar
Poehling
P1
47.3%
50.9%
P2
42.0%
47.0%
P3
46.0%
46.9%
OT
66.7%
37.9%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |