Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Poehling 50.8% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 68.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 74.9%
Neutral zone
Nazar 52.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Nazar
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nazar
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Nazar
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
52.6% (622)
-7.4%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
58.3% (12)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
39.8% (103)
+5.0%
On power play, Poehling has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Poehling is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Nazar
Poehling
Home
43.4% (196)
53.2% (393)
Away
45.9% (185)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Nazar
Poehling
P1
47.3%
50.9%
P2
40.3%
56.2%
P3
46.7%
46.1%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |