Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Couturier 55.6% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 81.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 68.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 65.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Nazar
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nazar
Couturier
Last 7: Nazar 4-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Nazar
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
2
1
Nazar
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
55.1% (1,008)
-9.9%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
64.1% (142)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
53.3% (45)
-8.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Nazar
Couturier
Home
43.4% (196)
58.1% (609)
Away
45.9% (185)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Nazar
Couturier
P1
47.3%
55.3%
P2
40.3%
55.8%
P3
46.7%
57.4%
OT
33.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |