Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Crosby 56.6% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 72.4%
Defensive zone
Nazar 64.7%
Neutral zone
Nazar 59.0%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Nazar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nazar
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Nazar
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
3
1
Nazar
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Nazar
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
56.2% (1,451)
-11.0%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
61.4% (293)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
55.3% (38)
-10.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Nazar
Crosby
Home
43.4% (196)
59.1% (939)
Away
45.9% (185)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Nazar
Crosby
P1
47.3%
54.9%
P2
40.3%
60.8%
P3
46.7%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |