Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nazar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Crosby 53.5% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 81.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 52.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 58.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Nazar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Nazar
Crosby
Last 10: Nazar 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Nazar
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
2
Nazar
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
2
Nazar
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (866)
52.8% (17,990)
-6.7%
Power Play
46.5% (172)
57.4% (4,733)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (69)
47.1% (765)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nazar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Nazar shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Nazar
Crosby
Home
44.2% (536)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
46.4% (571)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Nazar
Crosby
P1
47.3%
53.6%
P2
42.0%
53.9%
P3
46.0%
53.3%
OT
66.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |