Scouting Report
Frank Vatrano holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vatrano 48.7% vs Gregor 46.3% (+10.8%)
Offensive zone
Vatrano 55.9%
Defensive zone
Gregor 55.5%
Neutral zone
Gregor 51.6%
Result
Noah Gregor favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Vatrano
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vatrano
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (14)
29.4% (17)
+20.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
On power play, Gregor has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Vatrano is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Vatrano shoots left. Gregor is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Vatrano
Gregor
Home
37.5% (8)
23.1% (13)
Away
44.4% (9)
40.0% (10)
By Period
Vatrano
Gregor
P1
28.6%
20.0%
P2
33.3%
28.6%
P3
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
41.2%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
30.4%