Scouting Report
Frank Vatrano holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Vatrano wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vatrano 41.6% vs Gregor 40.3% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Vatrano 57.2%
Defensive zone
Gregor 57.1%
Neutral zone
Gregor 51.7%
Result
Noah Gregor favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Vatrano
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vatrano
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (209)
36.7% (196)
+1.6%
Power Play
29.4% (17)
23.1% (13)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
0.0% (1)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Vatrano has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Vatrano is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Vatrano shoots left. Gregor is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Vatrano
Gregor
Home
37.1% (116)
35.4% (113)
Away
39.1% (128)
36.1% (97)
By Period
Vatrano
Gregor
P1
37.8%
36.9%
P2
33.3%
28.4%
P3
43.0%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
38.1%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
35.7%