Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +22.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 49.6% vs Guentzel 45.5% (+22.5%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 61.6%
Defensive zone
Minten 64.8%
Neutral zone
Minten 51.7%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Minten
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (35)
27.3% (22)
+21.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Minten has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Minten is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Minten shoots left. Guentzel is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Minten
Guentzel
Home
53.8% (26)
33.3% (9)
Away
36.4% (11)
21.4% (14)
By Period
Minten
Guentzel
P1
53.3%
27.3%
P2
57.1%
16.7%
P3
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
14.3%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.6%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
26.1%