Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Minten wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 79.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 71.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Minten
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Minten
Zibanejad
Last 8: Minten 6-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
4
1
Minten
Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Minten
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
53.4% (770)
-3.8%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
46.2% (39)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
44.7% (141)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Minten is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Minten shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Minten
Zibanejad
Home
51.6% (322)
49.0% (429)
Away
45.4% (372)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Minten
Zibanejad
P1
44.9%
53.0%
P2
46.6%
51.1%
P3
52.1%
51.0%
OT
83.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |