Fraser Minten vs Mika Zibanejad

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Minten wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Minten 48.0% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Zibanejad 67.2%
Defensive zone Zibanejad 68.7%
Neutral zone Zibanejad 72.7%
Result Mika Zibanejad favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Minten Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 2 (8 meetings)
6
2
Minten Zibanejad
Last 8: Minten 6-2 Zibanejad

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
4
1
Minten Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Minten Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten Zibanejad
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Minten
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
50.9% (11,719)
-2.1%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
52.2% (1,849)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
41.5% (1,790)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +7.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Minten is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Minten shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
Minten
Zibanejad
Home
51.2% (449)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
44.4% (450)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Minten
Zibanejad
P1
44.0%
50.4%
P2
46.4%
49.7%
P3
52.1%
49.8%
OT
83.3%
48.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
48.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%
49.5%
47.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%
51.5%
49.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 26, 2026 2 11:28 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 10, 2026 3 13:15 Offensive Fraser Minten
Jan 10, 2026 3 13:10 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 10, 2026 3 03:46 Offensive Fraser Minten
Jan 10, 2026 3 00:33 Defensive Fraser Minten
Jan 10, 2026 1 11:34 Offensive Fraser Minten
Nov 28, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Fraser Minten
Nov 28, 2025 1 18:21 Offensive Fraser Minten