Fraser Minten vs Mikael Backlund

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mikael Backlund holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Minten wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Minten 47.4% vs Backlund 48.5% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone Minten 64.8%
Defensive zone Backlund 64.4%
Neutral zone Backlund 55.1%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Minten Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Minten
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (155)
50.4% (1,032)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
52.3% (107)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
40.6% (313)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +7.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Minten is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Minten shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Minten
Backlund
Home
49.5% (101)
48.7% (749)
Away
40.3% (67)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Minten
Backlund
P1
37.3%
50.4%
P2
44.1%
50.1%
P3
55.2%
45.8%
Final 5 min
43.2%
50.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%
49.5%
45.8%
Backlund
52.0%
48.0%
48.4%