Fraser Minten vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Backlund 49.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 73.2%
Defensive zone
Minten 52.6%
Neutral zone
Minten 62.9%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Minten
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Minten
Backlund
Last 7: Minten 2-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
5
Minten
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
49.7% (13,410)
-0.9%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
51.6% (1,336)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
44.0% (2,446)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Minten is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Minten shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Minten
Backlund
Home
51.2% (449)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
44.4% (450)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Minten
Backlund
P1
44.0%
48.5%
P2
46.4%
50.3%
P3
52.1%
48.4%
OT
83.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
44.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |