Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Minten wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 47.4% vs Kapanen 47.4% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Minten 51.1%
Defensive zone
Minten 67.0%
Neutral zone
Minten 50.3%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Minten
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (155)
44.4% (45)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
36.4% (11)
+13.6%
On power play, Minten has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Minten is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Minten shoots left. Kapanen is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Minten
Kapanen
Home
49.5% (101)
39.4% (33)
Away
40.3% (67)
47.8% (23)
By Period
Minten
Kapanen
P1
37.3%
42.9%
P2
44.1%
40.0%
P3
55.2%
47.1%
Final 5 min
43.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
45.8%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
42.9%